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Psychology Book Content :

Introduction

PART I—OUR MENTAL MACHINERY

Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking1

Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can’t We See

What Is There To Be Seen?7

Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember

What We Know?17

PART II—TOOLS FOR THINKING

Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment:

Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information

Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?

Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind

Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems

Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

PART III—COGNITIVE BIASES

Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases?

Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence

Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect

Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities

Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of

Intelligence Reporting

PART IV—CONCLUSIONS

Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence Analysis 

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